Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.139651 0.163557 0.189868 0.220912 0.256475 0.295872 0.342755
2026-01-04 0.103243 0.136314 0.176688 0.229293 0.295669 0.376258 0.481084
2026-01-11 0.081929 0.118441 0.166613 0.234121 0.325458 0.443793 0.607583
2026-01-18 0.067030 0.104599 0.157482 0.236176 0.348852 0.502633 0.726225
2026-01-25 0.055769 0.093165 0.148909 0.236329 0.367777 0.555340 0.839654
2026-02-01 0.046486 0.082732 0.139694 0.233404 0.380673 0.599341 0.943286
2026-02-08 0.039011 0.073702 0.130983 0.229497 0.390728 0.638957 1.042668
2026-02-15 0.032161 0.064425 0.120328 0.220680 0.391419 0.663480 1.120103
2026-02-22 0.029844 0.062779 0.122171 0.232609 0.426557 0.744325 1.291361
2026-03-01 0.025285 0.056109 0.114162 0.226291 0.430000 0.773793 1.381724
2026-03-08 0.021263 0.049758 0.105773 0.218068 0.428909 0.795059 1.459408
2026-03-15 0.018271 0.044981 0.099665 0.213195 0.433021 0.825041 1.553446
2026-03-22 0.016515 0.042630 0.098155 0.217220 0.454359 0.887609 1.710177
2026-03-29 0.015271 0.041234 0.098442 0.224888 0.483439 0.966521 1.902144
2026-04-05 0.013921 0.039335 0.097370 0.229575 0.507034 1.037018 2.083720
2026-04-12 0.012538 0.037085 0.095188 0.231589 0.525327 1.098750 2.253151
2026-04-19 0.011206 0.034702 0.092340 0.231739 0.539651 1.153696 2.413209
2026-04-26 0.009863 0.032016 0.088376 0.228864 0.547225 1.195829 2.551312
2026-05-03 0.008643 0.029418 0.084233 0.225026 0.552238 1.233023 2.681996
2026-05-10 0.007355 0.026332 0.078381 0.216365 0.545657 1.245953 2.765044
2026-05-17 0.007121 0.026416 0.080778 0.228084 0.586091 1.358981 3.057442
2026-05-24 0.006175 0.024037 0.076229 0.221877 0.584595 1.383489 3.169616
2026-05-31 0.005286 0.021631 0.071211 0.213799 0.577818 1.395990 3.257300